“F1 is about to experience the biggest single shock in its entire history,” Stoddart was quoted as saying by the Globe and Mail newspaper. Whether he has some inside information on what will happen a few hours from now – when the FIA is to announce the final entry list for the upcoming season – or simply trying to dramatizes the whole situation, one cannot help it from expecting the worse from the FIA decision.
Since there are only a few moments to the decision being made public, here are the likely scenarios following today's event.
The first one is, as recently rumored, that the two Red Bull backed teams and Ferrari will be included in the 2010 entry list against their will, following commercial agreements signed with the FIA in the past. Under the circumstances, BMW Sauber, Toyota, Renault, McLaren Mercedes and Brawn GP will be left out of the 2010 grid, while Ferrari are likely to commence legal actions against the FIA in order to void the agreement signed with the ruling body back in 2005.
The second scenario would be that FOTA's conditional entries for 2010 would be accepted by FIA's Max Mosley, pending the finalization of the “budget cap” situation. Under the circumstances, most of the “new entries” will have to wait a few more weeks (or even months) until the FOTA and the FIA will finally reach an agreement on the 2010 rules.
On the other hand, however, Mosley could continue to play hard ball and leave all the FOTA teams outside the 2010 entry list – including Ferrari, Red Bull and Toro Rosso – and accept all the other new entries. Under such circumstances, if a spot or two would remain available for the 2010 entry list, any of the “rebel” teams will have the opportunity to go for it in the future.
The less likely scenario would be that Mosley and the FOTA teams had already reached an agreement on Wednesday and all of the outfits would be accepted to run in 2010, followed by a declaration of peace between the two bodies.
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